EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Millwall0 - 2Leicester
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
28.35% | 26.07% | 45.58% |
Both teams to score 51.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.24% | 52.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.64% | 33.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.02% | 69.98% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% | 23.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% | 56.94% |
Score Analysis |
Millwall 28.35%
Leicester City 45.58%
Draw 26.07%
Millwall | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.35% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Leicester
Millwall
14.0%Draw
14.6%Leicester City
71.3%171
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2014 3pm
Nov 30, 2013 3pm
Mar 29, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2012 3pm
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 00:41:40
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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