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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
34.71% (![]() | 26.76% (![]() | 38.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.52% (![]() | 53.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25% (![]() | 75% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% (![]() | 29.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% (![]() | 65.27% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% (![]() | 27.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% (![]() | 62.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 12.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 10.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |