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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Kaba (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Lenihan (72'), Archer (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Cardiff are still searching for their maiden victory under Lamouchi and now face a tricky test against an in-form Middlesbrough side. Boro will be looking to cement their place in the playoffs this weekend and will fancy their chances against a Cardiff side yet to get firing under their new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.76% (0.032 0.03) 38.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.128 -0.13)53.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.11 -0.11)75% (0.113 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.31% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.27% (0.101 0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.04% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)62.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.71%
    Middlesbrough 38.53%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Middlesbrough
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
McGree (81')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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