Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Sunderland
While Sunderland have certainly enjoyed the stronger start to the season and boast the superior quality, they face a tough trip to Home Park to meet a Plymouth Argyle side who are strong on their own patch.
Although the hosts may not have what it takes to send the Black Cats home empty-handed, we do fancy them to take a share of the spoils on the south coast.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.09% . A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.72%) and 1-3 (5.52%) . The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood .
Result Plymouth Argyle Draw Sunderland 32.88% ( -0.03) 22.03% ( 0) 45.09% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.93% ( -0.03)
67.99% ( -0.04) 32.01% ( 0.04)
46.42% ( -0.04) 53.57% ( 0.04)
79.86% ( -0.03) 20.14% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.59% ( -0.05) 52.41% ( 0.05)
85.06% ( -0.01) 14.94% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.66% ( -0.01) 43.33% ( 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle 32.88%
Sunderland 45.09%
Draw 22.03%
Plymouth Argyle Draw Sunderland 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.88% 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.03% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 2.1% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.09%
How you voted: Plymouth vs Sunderland
Plymouth Argyle
Draw
Sunderland
11
rhs 2.0
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