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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.31% ( -0.09) | 24.66% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% ( 0.01) | 67.05% ( -0.01) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( -0.05) | 25.92% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.08% ( -0.07) | 60.91% ( 0.07) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0.05) | 21.32% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0.08) | 54.27% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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