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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
0 - 4
Middlesbrough


Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough

Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
33.31% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.03% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)44.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)25.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)60.91% (0.07 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.27% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 33.31%
    Middlesbrough 42.03%
    Draw 24.66%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Middlesbrough
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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