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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Norwich

Manhoef (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crnac (45')
Doyle (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-0 Hull City
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-2 Norwich City

With Stoke gradually improving under Pelach, this should make for an entertaining game. However, Norwich have really hit their stride in the final third and we can see a high-scoring draw being played out between two sides who want to play attacking football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
47.26% (0.203 0.2) 24.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 28.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.77% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (0.268 0.27)46.79% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (0.247 0.25)69.05% (-0.25 -0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.19199999999999 0.19)19.87% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (0.307 0.31)51.98% (-0.31 -0.31)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (0.047999999999988 0.05)30.4% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (0.056000000000004 0.06)66.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.26%
    Norwich City 28.13%
    Draw 24.6%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 28.13%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
30.6%
Draw
25.0%
Norwich City
44.4%
72
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
0-3
Norwich

Campbell (55')
Sargent (24'), Sara (28'), Barnes (60')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
1-0
Stoke
Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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