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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Millwall logo

Derby
0 - 1
Millwall


Goudmijn (44'), Nyambe (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coburn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Millwall

With their winless run close to hitting the two-month mark, Derby will be desperate to put on a positive showing during Eustace's debut in the dugout at Pride Park. The Rams have been fairly good in the East Midlands this season, so we are backing them to narrowly edge past the attentions of Millwall on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.87%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawMillwall
35.87% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26) 30.08% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 34.04% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 41.89% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.62% (-0.184 -0.18)65.38% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.84% (-0.129 -0.13)84.16% (0.123 0.12)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.268 -0.27)34.64% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.287 -0.29)71.37% (0.282 0.28)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (0.033000000000001 0.03)35.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (0.035 0.04)72.68% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.87%
    Millwall 34.04%
    Draw 30.07%
Derby CountyDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 30.07%
0-1 @ 12.74% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 34.04%

How you voted: Derby vs Millwall

Derby County
46.2%
Draw
23.1%
Millwall
30.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-1
Derby
Ivanovic (85')
Bryan (37'), Wintle (90')
Yates (78')
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Derby
1-2
Millwall
Cooper (88' og.)
Allsop (90')
Wallace (2'), Burey (30')
Saville (29')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Millwall
1-1
Derby
Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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