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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Middlesbrough logo

West Brom
0 - 1
Middlesbrough


Mowatt (34'), Racic (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hackney (74')
Jones (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-2 West Brom
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Middlesbrough

West Brom's strong start to the season and impressive home record should make them favourites on Tuesday. Additionally, given Middlesbrough have numerous defensive absentees, it would not be surprising if they were to concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
35.31% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 26.33%38.36% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)51.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)28.04% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)63.69% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.27% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (0.053000000000004 0.05)61.38% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 35.31%
    Middlesbrough 38.36%
    Draw 26.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: West Brom vs Middlesbrough

West Bromwich Albion
81.6%
Draw
9.2%
Middlesbrough
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Middlesbrough
1-0
West Brom
Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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