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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
West Brom logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
West Brom

Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.95%27.47%46.58%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 25.95%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.58%
    Draw 27.47%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
21.3%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
West Brom
3-2
Birmingham
Gayle (47'), Rodriguez (65' pen.), Livermore (74')
Dawson (30'), Brunt (98')
Gardner (7'), Jutkiewicz (59')
Dean (24'), Pedersen (46'), Gardner (68'), Gardner (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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