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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
West Brom logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
West Brom

Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.95%27.47%46.58%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 25.95%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.58%
    Draw 27.47%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
21.3%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
West Brom
3-2
Birmingham
Gayle (47'), Rodriguez (65' pen.), Livermore (74')
Dawson (30'), Brunt (98')
Gardner (7'), Jutkiewicz (59')
Dean (24'), Pedersen (46'), Gardner (68'), Gardner (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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