MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:04:32| >> :60:267:267:
Belize national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Mar 25, 2023 at 2am UK
 
Guatemala national football team

Belize
1 - 2
Guatemala

Polanco (45+1')
Reneau (3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Castellanos (30'), Santis (44')
Mejia (35'), Ardon (89'), Lopez (90+5')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Belize and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belize

Last Game: French Guiana 1-0 Belize
Tuesday, June 14 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belize had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Belize win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
BelizeDrawGuatemala
18.66% (0.044 0.04) 23.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 58.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.168 0.17)50.31% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (0.149 0.15)72.26% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Belize Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.97% (0.147 0.15)41.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42% (0.13 0.13)77.58% (-0.131 -0.13)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.054999999999993 0.05)17.03% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (0.097000000000001 0.1)47.17% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belize 18.66%
    Guatemala 58.14%
    Draw 23.18%
BelizeDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 6.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.91% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 18.66%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 12.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.76% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 58.14%

Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 8pm
Guatemala
2-0
Belize
Nembhard (9' og.), Mejia (75' pen.)
Antonio Jerez Figueroa (89')

Myvette (7'), Lopez (11'), Anderson (48')
Jan 30, 2022 2am
International Friendly
Belize
0-0
Guatemala
rhs 2.0
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