Grenada have not beaten a Central American team this century, and given their woeful performances against the Hondurans in the past, it is difficult to imagine a different outcome for the Spice Boys on Tuesday.
Los Catrachos may not be in the best form at the moment, but their experience and overall quality is superior to what Grenada have, and they should be able to find the back of the net eventually against a side who have conceded multiple goals in five of their seven matches played this year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Grenada win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
