Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
0.32) 
-0.15) 
