Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 6, 2024 at 11pm UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Colombia5 - 0Panama
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Colombia could line up for Saturday's Copa America quarter-final clash with Panama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Colombia 3-1 Panama
Both nations enter Saturday's contest in buoyant mood, but Colombia will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Los Cafeteros have not lost in any competition since February 2022 and they should have enough quality in the final third to break down Panama's five-man backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
Result | ||
Colombia | Draw | Panama |
42.05% ( -0.47) | 27.59% ( 0.06) | 30.36% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |