Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Mexico0 - 0Ecuador
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mexico | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America
We said: Mexico 0-2 Ecuador
The Mexicans have been wasteful in front of goal throughout this tournament, and we believe those frustrations will boil over against a well-drilled Ecuadorian squad. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
40.71% ( 0.11) | 27.3% ( -0.15) | 31.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.56) | 56.11% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.45) | 77.18% ( -0.46) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.32) | 27.06% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.56% ( 0.42) | 62.43% ( -0.43) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.31) | 32.43% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.05% ( 0.35) | 68.95% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 40.7%
Ecuador 31.99%
Draw 27.29%
| Mexico | Draw | Ecuador |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.99% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Ecuador
Mexico
21.5%Draw
19.8%Ecuador
58.8%177
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12.30am
Jun 10, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-2
Ecuador
Jun 19, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Mexico
1-2
Ecuador
