Uruguay0 - 1Colombia
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America
We said: Uruguay 1-2 Colombia
Uruguay's defensive exploits both during and in the build-up to the Copa America have been nothing short of sensational, but with Araujo gone and Nandez banned, a reshuffle spells danger against a seemingly invincible Colombia. Bielsa's men will no doubt give the Tricolour a magnificent run for their money, but we still cannot picture a scenario in which Lozano's Rodriguez-inspired men fail to set up a tantalising final versus Argentina or Canada, forcing Uruguay to battle for bronze instead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
35.21% ( -0.29) | 28.69% ( 0.34) | 36.1% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% ( -1.22) | 60.76% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( -0.93) | 80.81% ( 0.93) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( -0.81) | 32.65% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.92) | 69.2% ( 0.92) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.66) | 32.07% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.46% ( -0.75) | 68.54% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.09% |
How you voted: Uruguay vs Colombia
