Copa America | Group Stage

Jul 2, 2024 at 2am UK

Arrowhead Stadium

USA
vs.
Uruguay

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa America Group Stage clash between USA and Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	7	6
2	USA	2	1	3
3	Panama	2	-1	3
4	Bolivia	2	-7	0

Uruguay

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Uruguay 5-0 Bolivia
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Uruguay has a probability of 29.91% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Uruguay win is 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).

Result
USA	Draw	Uruguay
43.92% ( 0.28)	26.16% ( 0.05)	29.91% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.62% (

-0.37)

52.38% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

-0.32)

74.06% (

0.32)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0.03)

23.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15% (

-0.04)

57.85% (

0.04)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.44)

31.99% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.55% (

-0.5)

68.45% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

USA 43.92%

Uruguay 29.91%

Draw 26.16%

USA	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.92%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.91%