Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2024 at 2am UK
Arrowhead Stadium
USA0 - 1Uruguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panama 2-1 USA
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa America
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | USA | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Panama | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 2 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Uruguay 5-0 Bolivia
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America
Friday, June 28 at 2am in Copa America
We said: USA 1-3 Uruguay
It seems as though the pressure of being the hosts is getting the better of the Americans, who look vulnerable defensively and incredibly inconsistent. There is little pressure on Uruguay heading into this fixture, but knowing Bielsa, we expect them to play aggressively and put away the opportunities presented to them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
40.65% ( -0.05) | 26.59% ( -0.16) | 32.76% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( 0.7) | 53.13% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 0.59) | 74.71% ( -0.59) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.29) | 25.72% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.39) | 60.64% ( -0.39) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( 0.49) | 30.39% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.41% ( 0.58) | 66.59% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
USA 40.65%
Uruguay 32.76%
Draw 26.59%
| USA | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.65% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.76% |
How you voted: USA vs Uruguay
USA
19.5%Draw
17.2%Uruguay
63.3%256
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 10pm
Sep 11, 2019 1am
