Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.