MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 11:57:56| >> :60:240:240:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Patronato

Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Patronato


Asprilla (34'), Duque (53'), Ocampo (88')
Goez (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (81')
Kruspzky (11'), Solis (31'), Diaz (71'), Ruiz (84'), Aruga (90+2'), Geminiani (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Olimpia 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 5-0 Patronato
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Atletico Nacional 2-0 Patronato

Patronato have struggled in this competition so far, and that is something that is likely to continue in the final match due to the strength of the Atletico Nacional squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawPatronato
51.22% (0.44 0.44) 25.68% (-0.213 -0.21) 23.1% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.87% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (0.599 0.6)54.93% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (0.491 0.49)76.22% (-0.488 -0.49)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.43599999999999 0.44)21.49% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.667 0.67)54.53% (-0.664 -0.66)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (0.121 0.12)39.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (0.114 0.11)75.76% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 51.21%
    Patronato 23.1%
    Draw 25.68%
Atletico NacionalDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.21%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.1%

How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Patronato

Atletico Nacional
100%
Draw
0.0%
Patronato
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Patronato
1-2
Atletico Nacional
Levato (2')
Pabon (77' pen., 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!