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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica
2 - 0
Bolivar

Zamora (10'), Diaz (35')
Borja (61'), Minda (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Savio (15'), Sagredo (45+1'), da Costa (76')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad Catolica and Bolivar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawBolivar
51.21%22.4%26.39%
Both teams to score 61.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03%37.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77%60.23%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96%15.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47%43.52%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91%27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53%62.47%
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 51.21%
    Bolivar 26.39%
    Draw 22.39%
Universidad CatolicaDrawBolivar
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 6.03%
3-0 @ 4.62%
3-2 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 51.21%
1-1 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-1 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2022 10.15pm
Second Round 1st Leg
Bolivar
1-1
U. Catolica
Da Costa (8')
Sagredo (34'), Savio (59')
Diaz (11')
Carabali (11'), Anangono (40')
rhs 2.0
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