
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona3 - 0Corinthians
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Barcelona SC and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 El Nacional
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 UCV
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 27 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona SC | Draw | Corinthians |
39.61% (![]() | 26.91% (![]() | 33.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.72% (![]() | 54.27% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% (![]() | 75.67% (![]() |
Barcelona SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% (![]() | 62.1% (![]() |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% (![]() | 30.49% (![]() |