Santos

2 - 1

Libertad

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santos in this match.