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Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 11pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
2 - 2
River Plate

Perez (10' og.), Angileri (83' og.)
Diego (56'), Gomes (68'), Reinaldo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Borre (18'), Alvarez (80')
De La Cruz (33'), Carrascal (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawRiver Plate
37.42%26.43%36.15%
Both teams to score 52.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.33%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27%27.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7%63.29%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 37.42%
    River Plate 36.15%
    Draw 26.43%
Sao PauloDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 6.16%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.15%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Brentford187383232024
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266


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