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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
 

Blooming
6 - 0
Municipal Vinto

Luis Sinisterra (16', 38', 51'), Rodriguez (45+1', 54'), Fenga (80')
Rodriguez (36'), Villamil (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Vargas (34')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Blooming and Municipal Vinto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blooming

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Last Game: Emelec 2-0 Blooming
Thursday, February 20 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Municipal Vinto

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Last Game: Municipal Vinto 1-2 Wilstermann
Thursday, April 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Municipal Vinto win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blooming would win this match.

Result
BloomingDrawMunicipal Vinto
48.24% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.2% (-0.087 -0.09) 28.56% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.93% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.438 0.44)40.13% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.451 0.45)62.5% (-0.451 -0.45)
Blooming Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (0.17699999999999 0.18)16.89% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (0.315 0.31)46.92% (-0.315 -0.31)
Municipal Vinto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.25999999999999 0.26)26.69% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (0.34099999999999 0.34)61.95% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Blooming 48.24%
    Municipal Vinto 28.56%
    Draw 23.19%
BloomingDrawMunicipal Vinto
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 48.24%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.56%

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