Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 9, 2023 at 10pm UK

Blooming
6 - 0
Municipal Vinto

Luis Sinisterra (16', 38', 51'), Rodriguez (45+1', 54'), Fenga (80')
Rodriguez (36'), Villamil (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Vargas (34')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Blooming and Municipal Vinto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blooming

Last Game: Emelec 2-0 Blooming
Thursday, February 20 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Municipal Vinto

Last Game: Municipal Vinto 1-2 Wilstermann
Thursday, April 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blooming win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Municipal Vinto had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blooming win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Municipal Vinto win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blooming would win this match.

Result
Blooming	Draw	Municipal Vinto
48.24% ( 0.03)	23.2% ( -0.09)	28.56% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 60.93% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

0.44)

40.13% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

0.45)

62.5% (

-0.45)

Blooming Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.11% (

0.18)

16.89% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.07% (

0.31)

46.92% (

-0.31)

Municipal Vinto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

0.26)

26.69% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

0.34)

61.95% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Blooming 48.24%

Municipal Vinto 28.56%

Draw 23.19%

Blooming	Draw	Municipal Vinto
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.18% Total : 48.24%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.56%