Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.