Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Torino had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
40.3% | 26.32% | 33.38% |
Both teams to score 52.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.07% | 51.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% | 73.66% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% | 25.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% | 60.14% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
7 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
8 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |