Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Juventus (Inter win 3-2 on aggregate)
As knockout kings - Inter lifted last year's Coppa Italia and are into the semis of both cup competitions this season - it is the home side who should scrape through to the final. The Nerazzurri have thrived on the big stage despite slipping up several times in Serie A; Juve's limitations have been exposed while winning just one of their last five matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Juventus |
50.13% ( -0.46) | 25.92% ( 0.23) | 23.95% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
