Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
59.33% ( 2.67) | 23.57% ( -0.9) | 17.1% ( -1.77) |
Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46% ( 0.95) | 54% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.56% ( 0.79) | 75.44% ( -0.79) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( 1.35) | 17.94% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.23% ( 2.27) | 48.76% ( -2.27) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.92% ( -1.59) | 45.08% ( 1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19% ( -1.29) | 80.99% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.32% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.5% Total : 17.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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