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Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Lecce logo

Juventus
2 - 1
Lecce

Paredes (15'), Vlahovic (40')
Paredes (55'), Bremer (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ceesay (37' pen.)
Umtiti (48'), Pezzella (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Lecce

Though Juventus lost their defensive solidity in April, they can start a new month by shutting out goal-shy Lecce and getting back on the winning trail. It might not make pleasant viewing, but Max Allegri's men will grind out victory to stay one step ahead of their rivals in the top-four race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLecce
59.33% (2.673 2.67) 23.57% (-0.901 -0.9) 17.1% (-1.771 -1.77)
Both teams to score 45.06% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46% (0.948 0.95)54% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56% (0.788 0.79)75.44% (-0.786 -0.79)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (1.354 1.35)17.94% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (2.274 2.27)48.76% (-2.274 -2.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92% (-1.586 -1.59)45.08% (1.587 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19% (-1.292 -1.29)80.99% (1.293 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 59.32%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 23.57%
JuventusDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.606 0.61)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.374 0.37)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.165 0.17)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.32%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Juventus vs Lecce

Juventus
90.1%
Draw
7.7%
Lecce
2.2%
91
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
gameweek 12
Lecce
0-1
Juventus
Fagioli (73')
Miretti (12')
Jun 26, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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