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[monks data]
Denmark national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Telia Parken
Finland national football team

Denmark
0 - 1
Finland

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pohjanpalo (60')
Lod (4'), Sparv (51')

Preview: Denmark vs. Finland - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's European Championship clash between Denmark and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Denmark will be looking to make the perfect start to their Euro 2020 campaign when they take on Finland in their tournament opener on Saturday evening.

The Danes will be hoping to rival Belgium for top spot in Group F, although Russia will also fancy their chances of advancing to the knockout stage, and it is set to be a fascinating battle in this particular section.


Match preview

Denmark players huddle before the match on June 2, 2021© Reuters

Denmark famously won the European Championship in 1992, while they reached the quarter-final stage of the competition in 2004, but the 2012 tournament proved to be a disappointment, exiting in the group stage.

The Danes actually failed to qualify for Euro 2016 but secured their spot in the finals of Euro 2020 courtesy of finishing second in Group D behind Switzerland, picking up 16 points from their eight matches.

Denmark's preparations for this tournament have been strong, meanwhile, as they drew 1-1 with Germany in a friendly on June 2 before Martin Braithwaite and Andreas Cornelius scored in a 2-0 success over Bosnia-Herzegovina in Brondby on Sunday evening.

Kasper Hjulmand's side have lost just one of their last 12 matches in all competitions and will view their tournament opener in Copenhagen as key to their chances of claiming a top-two position.

Third could yet be enough to advance from Group B, but the Red and Whites will not want to take any chances, particularly as they will finish this section with two difficult games against Belgium and Russia, making Saturday's contest absolutely vital to their hopes of progression.

Finland players celebrate scoring against Bosnia on March 24, 2021© Reuters

Finland face a tough task when it comes to securing a spot in the knockout round of the European Championship, but in many ways, they will be delighted to have qualified for the finals in the first place.

Indeed, this is the first time that the Eagle-owls will be present in the European Championship, meaning that it will be a very special competition for the country as a whole.

Markku Kanerva's side will not just be there to make up the numbers, but the team's preparations have been far from ideal, losing their two pre-tournament friendlies against Sweden and Estonia.

Finland recorded four straight victories in the latter stages of 2020 but are now winless in their last six, suffering four losses in the process, and they are being tipped to finish bottom of this section.

Nevertheless, there is certainly talent and plenty of experience in the squad, and a positive result against Denmark would lead them nicely into a clash with Russia on June 16.

Denmark form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Finland form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Denmark's Yussuf Poulsen celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on June 2, 2021© Reuters

There are plenty of familiar names in the Denmark squad, and the likes of Kasper Schmeichel, Andreas Christensen, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Christian Eriksen will all be in the starting XI for this match.

Head coach Hjulmand has plenty of options in the midfield and forward areas, but the likes of Braithwaite and Poulsen are expected to be handed spots in the team for this fixture.

Thomas Delaney should join Hojbjerg in the middle of the park, while Simon Kjaer - the second-most experienced player in the squad behind Eriksen - should join Christensen at the back.

Kasper Dolberg and Cornelius are pushing for spots in the attack, but Jonas Wind could ultimately get the nod, with the 22-year-old looking to add to his three goals at this level.

As for Finland, Teemu Pukki had been a doubt due to an ankle problem, but the 31-year-old, who is the leading goalscorer in the squad with 30, is expected to feature in the final third of the field.

There are a number of unknowns when it comes to the starting side, but Joel Pohjanpalo could get the nod alongside Pukki in the final third, while Tim Sparv is a certainty in the middle of the park.

Rangers midfielder Glen Kamara will also be in the starting XI, while there will be plenty of international experience in the shape of Paulus Arajuuri, Joona Toivio and Jukka Raitala.

Denmark possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Wass, Christensen, Kjaer, Maehle; Hojbjerg, Delaney; Poulsen, Eriksen, Braithwaite; Wind

Finland possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Arajuuri, Toivio, O'Shaughnessy; Raitala, Kamara, Sparv, Lod, Uronen; Pohjanpalo, Pukki


SM words green background

We say: Denmark 2-0 Finland

Finland are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Denmark, but we are finding it difficult to look past the Danes on this occasion.

Hjulmand's side have won nine of their last 11 international matches, and they should have too much for a Finland team that will enter the contest off the back of three straight losses.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Denmark vs Finland

Denmark
87.2%
Draw
5.8%
Finland
7.0%
658
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Denmark coach Kasper Hjulmand reacts on March 28, 2021
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Denmark Euro 2020 preview - prediction, fixtures, squad, star player
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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