Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
We said: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
In addition to suffering two straight losses, FC Koln have failed to score in four of their previous five outings, putting Union Berlin in pole position to claim all three points on Saturday.
Given that last weekend's defeat was Union's first since November, the Irons Ones should return to winning ways on home soil, keeping a clean sheet in the process.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 54.47% . A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.89% .
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.66%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (6.46%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood .
Result Union Berlin Draw FC Koln 54.47% ( -1.39) 23.64% ( 0.21) 21.89% ( 1.18)
Both teams to score 52.47% ( 1.01)
51.9% ( 0.51) 48.1% ( -0.52)
29.74% ( 0.47) 70.26% ( -0.47)
82.45% ( -0.32) 17.55% ( 0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.91% ( -0.55) 48.08% ( 0.55)
63.64% ( 1.46) 36.36% ( -1.46)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.86% ( 1.45) 73.14% ( -1.45)
Union Berlin 54.47%
FC Koln 21.89%
Draw 23.63%
Union Berlin Draw FC Koln 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.47% 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.63% 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.89%
How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln
73
rhs 2.0
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