MX23RW : Friday, November 22 06:47:48| >> :600:1154532:1154532:
Crawley Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Crawley
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Nichols (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers won both of their league meetings with Crawley last season, and we think that they have enough quality to record another victory against the Reds on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
41.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 33.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)47.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-0.038 -0.04)69.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.77% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)56.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.45% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 41.31%
    Bristol Rovers 33.45%
    Draw 25.24%
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.45%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town
23.5%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol Rovers
76.5%
17
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Crawley
Bennett (32'), Clarke (84')
Payne (56'), Clarke (67'), Smith (94')
Connolly (88')
Randall (40'), Poleon (85')
Poleon (94')
Nov 15, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
4-2
Crawley
Taylor (34', 102' pen.), Gaffney (52', 96')
Roberts (45'), Harold (65')
Garnett (80'), Collins (114')
Nov 5, 2016 12pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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