League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 2
Mansfield

Demetriou (32'), Adebisi (60')
Offord (37'), Thomas (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Keillor-Dunn (22', 26')
Keillor-Dunn (58'), Kilgour (59'), Quinn (63'), Reed (87')
MacDonald (58')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crewe
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Mansfield Town

This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not too much between the two sides in terms of quality. The two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they last locked horns in January, and we can see the same result occurring on Saturday, which both managers would likely take if it were offered ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Mansfield Town
15.58% ( -2.52)	21.03% ( -2.24)	63.39% ( 4.76)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

1.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.59% (

5.04)

46.41% (

-5.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.31% (

4.57)

68.69% (

-4.57)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.49% (

-0.16)

42.51% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.13% (

-0.14)

78.87% (

0.13)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.01% (

3.28)

13.99% (

-3.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.5% (

6.1)

41.5% (

-6.1)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 15.58%

Mansfield Town 63.38%

Draw 21.03%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.09% ( -1.2) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.58%	1-1 @ 10% ( -1.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.37) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 11.69% ( -1.15) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.94) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.78) 0-4 @ 3.71% ( 0.81) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.32) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.44) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.29) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.65% Total : 63.38%