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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
15.58% ( -2.52) | 21.03% ( -2.24) | 63.39% ( 4.76) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( 1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.59% ( 5.04) | 46.41% ( -5.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.31% ( 4.57) | 68.69% ( -4.57) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% ( -0.16) | 42.51% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% ( -0.14) | 78.87% ( 0.13) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.01% ( 3.28) | 13.99% ( -3.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.5% ( 6.1) | 41.5% ( -6.1) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 5.09% ( -1.2) 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -1.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -1.37) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( -1.15) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.94) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.78) 0-4 @ 3.71% ( 0.81) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.32) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.44) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.29) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.65% Total : 63.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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