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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
2 - 2
Crewe

Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Crewe (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Both Swindon and Crewe will fancy their chances of claiming their first League Two win of the new season on Saturday, but with little to separate these two sides, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
49.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)51.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)71.85%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.82%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.07%
    Draw 25.1%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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