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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
35.4% ( -0.98) | 25.7% ( 0.09) | 38.89% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% ( -0.51) | 48.92% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% ( -0.46) | 71.01% ( 0.45) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0.8) | 26.68% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( -1.07) | 61.93% ( 1.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( 0.24) | 24.73% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.71% ( 0.34) | 59.28% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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