EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.13% . A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%) . The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result Tranmere Rovers Draw Accrington Stanley 50.13% ( 5.01) 23.57% ( -0.09) 26.31% ( -4.92)
Both teams to score 57.74% ( -3.24)
56.51% ( -2.7) 43.49% ( 2.71)
34.11% ( -2.71) 65.88% ( 2.72)
82.55% ( 0.92) 17.45% ( -0.91)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.09% ( 1.58) 47.91% ( -1.57)
69.95% ( -4.75) 30.05% ( 4.76)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.82% ( -6.11) 66.18% ( 6.12)
Tranmere Rovers 50.13%
Accrington Stanley 26.31%
Draw 23.56%
Tranmere Rovers Draw Accrington Stanley 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 1.28) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 1.32) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.43) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.13% 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.56% 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.82) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.49) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.31%
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