EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham3 - 2Brighton U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Gillingham and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brighton U21s 4-0 Spurs U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
43.52% ( 0.84) | 24.13% ( 0.14) | 32.35% ( -0.98) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% ( -0.98) | 42.54% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.05% ( -0.98) | 64.95% ( 0.98) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( -0.04) | 19.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( -0.06) | 51.78% ( 0.06) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( -1.05) | 25.46% ( 1.05) |