Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.