Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.