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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
60.58% ( 0.08) | 21.94% ( -0.01) | 17.48% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% ( -0.07) | 46.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% ( -0.06) | 69.21% ( 0.07) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.95% ( 0.01) | 15.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.45% ( 0.01) | 43.55% ( -0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.56% ( -0.12) | 40.44% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% ( -0.11) | 77.05% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |