MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:35:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kramer (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk

Ajax finally appear to have hit their stride this season, and with momentum growing they should have far too much for a struggling RKC Waalwijk side on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
68.66% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03) 16.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 14.61% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.99% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.12% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)27.88% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.4% (-0.293 -0.29)48.59% (0.292 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)7.44% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.23% (-0.169 -0.17)26.76% (0.167 0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.175 -0.17)31.95% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.197 -0.2)68.4% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 68.66%
    RKC Waalwijk 14.61%
    Draw 16.73%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 68.66%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.73%
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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