Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 3
Ajax

Edvardsen (44'), Kramer (58')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Brobbey (27'), Tahirovic (45+4'), Rensch (72')
Hlynsson (53'), Medic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 7-1 De Treffers
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 2-1 Hannover
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 Ajax

After the winter break, both teams will be looking to make their mark, and an extended period without a game could have benefitted both clubs. Nevertheless, Ajax look a strong outfit under this management, and we are backing them to run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Ajax
41.37% ( -0.72)	21.09% ( 0.29)	37.54% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 73.02% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.04% (

-1.4)

25.96% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.84% (

-1.83)

46.16% (

1.83)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

-0.82)

13.83% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8% (

-1.65)

41.2% (

1.66)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74% (

-0.45)

15.26% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.06% (

-0.86)

43.94% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 41.37%

Ajax 37.54%

Draw 21.09%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15) 4-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.96% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.08% Total : 37.54%