Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2024 at 7pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Heracles

Kramer (53' pen.)
van den Buijs (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hansson (35' pen.), Engels (59')
Sankoh (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Heracles
Sunday, January 7 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heracles

With both sides boasting similar amounts of quality and having experienced almost identical campaigns thus far, we anticipate a close and hard-fought encounter on Friday. Given the high stakes in the fight for survival, both will be desperate to avoid defeat on their return to action, and we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Heracles
32.18% ( -3.18)	23.75% ( -0.02)	44.06% ( 3.19)

Both teams to score 61.1% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.18% (

-0.86)

40.81% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79% (

-0.88)

63.2% (

0.87)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

-2.2)

24.73% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

-3.17)

59.28% (

3.16)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

1.03)

18.81% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

1.7)

50.24% (

-1.71)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 32.18%

Heracles 44.06%

Draw 23.75%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.18%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.06%