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Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Utrecht

Almere City
1 - 3
Utrecht

FT(HT: 0-2)
van der Hoorn (35'), Iqbal (41'), Ohio (90+4')
Rodriguez (45'), Iqbal (48'), van der Hoorn (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-4 FC Utrecht

Although there is potential for Almere City to cause a surprise against their high-flying opponents, it remains highly unlikely. Utrecht have not lost their scoring touch in recent games, leading us to predict a comfortable triumph over the bottom-placed outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
12.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 17.49% (0.029 0.03) 70.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)38.15% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.012 -0.01)60.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.066000000000003 0.07)42.41% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.058 0.06)78.79% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)9.68% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.7% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)32.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 12.11%
    FC Utrecht 70.39%
    Draw 17.49%
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 3.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.11%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.49%
0-2 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.39%

How you voted: Almere City vs Utrecht

Almere City
19.4%
Draw
3.2%
FC Utrecht
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2024 1pm
Club Friendlies 3
Almere City
0-0
Utrecht
Mar 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Almere City
1-1
Utrecht
Cathline (3')
Jacobs (39')
Lammers (14')
ter Avest (44'), Flamingo (74')
Sep 30, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
0-2
Almere City

Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
Robinet (80'), Van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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