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Fortuna Sittard
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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
FC Utrecht

Almere City
1 - 3
Utrecht

FT(HT: 0-2)
van der Hoorn (35'), Iqbal (41'), Ohio (90+4')
Rodriguez (45'), Iqbal (48'), van der Hoorn (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-4 FC Utrecht

Although there is potential for Almere City to cause a surprise against their high-flying opponents, it remains highly unlikely. Utrecht have not lost their scoring touch in recent games, leading us to predict a comfortable triumph over the bottom-placed outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
12.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 17.49% (0.029 0.03) 70.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)38.15% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.012 -0.01)60.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.066000000000003 0.07)42.41% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.058 0.06)78.79% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)9.68% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.7% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)32.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 12.11%
    FC Utrecht 70.39%
    Draw 17.49%
Almere CityDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 3.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.11%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.49%
0-2 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 8.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.39%

How you voted: Almere City vs Utrecht

Almere City
Draw
FC Utrecht
Almere City
19.4%
Draw
3.2%
FC Utrecht
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2024 1pm
Club Friendlies 3
Almere City
0-0
Utrecht
Mar 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Almere City
1-1
Utrecht
Cathline (3')
Jacobs (39')
Lammers (14')
ter Avest (44'), Flamingo (74')
Sep 30, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
0-2
Almere City

Flamingo (38'), Novoa (60'), Fraulo (89')
Novoa (63')
Robinet (80'), Van La Parra (89')
van Bruggen (22'), Mbe Soh (26'), Kitala (45+3'), Koopmeiners (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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