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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
56.49% ( -0.23) | 22.4% ( 0.17) | 21.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.29% ( -0.7) | 43.71% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.9% ( -0.69) | 66.1% ( 0.68) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% ( -0.31) | 15.28% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.01% ( -0.59) | 43.99% ( 0.59) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( -0.35) | 34.64% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( -0.37) | 71.37% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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