MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 01:55:56| >> :600:1140169:1140169:
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tsirion Stadium
AZ Alkmaar

Apollon Limassol
1 - 0
AZ

Roberge (32')
Jovanovic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hatzidiakos (45+2'), Odgaard (73'), de Wit (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Apollon Limassol and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: AZ 3-2 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Apollon Limassol 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar have been in imperious form this season and are huge favourites to emerge victorious in this one. While Apollon Limassol recently returned to winning ways, we can see AZ having far too much quality for their hosts and coming away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Apollon LimassolDrawAZ Alkmaar
23.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 22.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 53.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.18% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)40.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)62.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Apollon Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)30.33% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.51% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (-0.005999999999986 -0.01)15.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.58% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Apollon Limassol 23.89%
    AZ Alkmaar 53.71%
    Draw 22.39%
Apollon LimassolDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.45% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 23.89%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.16%
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 53.71%

How you voted: Apollon Limassol vs AZ

Apollon Limassol
10.8%
Draw
9.6%
AZ Alkmaar
79.5%
83
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group E
AZ
3-2
Apollon Limassol
Odgaard (16'), De Wit (62' pen.), Karlsson (85')
Joosten (19'), Cabral (71')
Cabral (67')
rhs 2.0
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