Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia2 - 0AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: LKS Lodz 1-1 Legia
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Almere City
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Eredivisie
We said: Legia Warsaw 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
Legia have not been at their best of late, but a crucial Conference League clash in front of their passionate fanbase will raise performance levels by at least 5%. AZ have a massive job on their hands as they try to keep their European dreams alive, and we feel that the Dutch side's participation in the competition will come to a dramatic end in Warsaw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.56% ( -0.1) | 24.61% ( 0.02) | 35.83% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
