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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
72.93% (![]() | 15.07% (![]() | 12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.03% (![]() | 25.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.82% (![]() | 46.17% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.8% (![]() | 6.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.58% (![]() | 23.42% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% (![]() | 34.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% (![]() | 70.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 4.3% Total : 72.93% | 1-1 @ 6.32% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.07% | 1-2 @ 3.4% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |