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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 11.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-3 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
11.13% | 15.33% | 73.53% |
Both teams to score 57.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.99% | 30.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.79% | 51.2% |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% | 38.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% | 75.18% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93% | 7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.38% | 25.62% |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.27% 1-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.39% 2-0 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.63% Total : 11.13% | 1-1 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 4.35% 0-0 @ 2.69% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.33% | 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.44% 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.16% 0-4 @ 5.61% 1-4 @ 5.36% 2-3 @ 3.86% 0-5 @ 2.98% 1-5 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.57% 2-5 @ 1.36% 0-6 @ 1.32% 1-6 @ 1.27% Other @ 4.08% Total : 73.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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