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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax

PSV
3 - 0
Ajax

de Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Sangare (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (7'), Rulli (52'), Berghuis (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax

 Considering at least three goals have been scored in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, an entertaining contest is set to take place on Sunday, with both sides seeking to end the weekend in second place. PSV will be regarded as slight favourites being on home soil and having won the last three encounters with Ajax, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to pick up a point at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
44.14% (-0.277 -0.28) 21.44% (0.041 0.04) 34.41% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 70.86% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.54% (-0.137 -0.14)28.45% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.3% (0.165 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)13.88% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)41.29% (0.287 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)17.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)48.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 44.14%
    Ajax 34.41%
    Draw 21.44%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Ajax
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 18
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
gameweek 9
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2FC UtrechtUtrecht12101122121031
3Ajax1292127111629
4Feyenoord1384131131828
5FC Twente1374226121425
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1362525151020
7Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen135172012816
10Willem II134451514116
11NAC BredaNAC Breda135171423-916
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle133371424-1012
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta132561320-711
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215
> Eredivisie Full Table


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