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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax

PSV
3 - 0
Ajax

de Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Sangare (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanchez (7'), Rulli (52'), Berghuis (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-3 PSV
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Emmen
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax

 Considering at least three goals have been scored in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, an entertaining contest is set to take place on Sunday, with both sides seeking to end the weekend in second place. PSV will be regarded as slight favourites being on home soil and having won the last three encounters with Ajax, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to pick up a point at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (4.86%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
44.14% (-0.277 -0.28) 21.44% (0.041 0.04) 34.41% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 70.86% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.54% (-0.137 -0.14)28.45% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)49.3% (0.165 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)13.88% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)41.29% (0.287 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)17.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)48.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 44.14%
    Ajax 34.41%
    Draw 21.44%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.41%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Ajax
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
Final
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 18
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
gameweek 9
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184
> Eredivisie Full Table


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