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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 11.15am UK
De Grolsch Veste
Cambuur

FC Twente
4 - 0
Cambuur

van Wolfswinkel (12'), Vlap (28'), Steijn (36'), Brenet (77')
van Wolfswinkel (64')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Paulissen (17'), Balk (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Emmen
Saturday, April 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Cambuur

Twente have been near-perfect in front of their fans so far, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawCambuur
76.41% (0.57600000000001 0.58) 14.42% (-0.281 -0.28) 9.17% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.71% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (0.42699999999999 0.43)31.81% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (0.498 0.5)53.34% (-0.501 -0.5)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.14% (0.209 0.21)6.85% (-0.2109 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.77% (0.553 0.55)25.23% (-0.555 -0.56)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (-0.294 -0.29)43.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.248 -0.25)79.63% (0.24499999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 76.4%
    Cambuur 9.17%
    Draw 14.42%
FC TwenteDrawCambuur
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.55% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.4% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.34% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.43% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.86% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.066 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.046 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 76.4%
1-1 @ 6.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.42%
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.17%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Cambuur

FC Twente
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Cambuur
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 1.30pm
Mar 6, 2022 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Cambuur
Propper (63')
Brenet (70')

ter Heide (16'), Mac-Intosch (25'), Schouten (57'), Paulissen (88'), Tol (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 5.45pm
Cambuur
2-0
FC Twente
Jacobs (66', 90+1')
Hoedemakers (36')

Smal (17'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ilic (50')
Ilic (55')
May 3, 2019 7pm
FC Twente
2-2
Cambuur
Boere (5'), Hamdaoui (37')
Schilder (88'), Robertha (93')
Dec 14, 2018 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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