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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 11.15am UK
De Grolsch Veste
Cambuur

FC Twente
4 - 0
Cambuur

van Wolfswinkel (12'), Vlap (28'), Steijn (36'), Brenet (77')
van Wolfswinkel (64')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Paulissen (17'), Balk (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Cambuur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Cambuur 1-2 Emmen
Saturday, April 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Cambuur

Twente have been near-perfect in front of their fans so far, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a win for them. We are backing the hosts to cruise to a relatively comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawCambuur
76.41% (0.57600000000001 0.58) 14.42% (-0.281 -0.28) 9.17% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52.71% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (0.42699999999999 0.43)31.81% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (0.498 0.5)53.34% (-0.501 -0.5)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.14% (0.209 0.21)6.85% (-0.2109 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.77% (0.553 0.55)25.23% (-0.555 -0.56)
Cambuur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.59% (-0.294 -0.29)43.4% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.37% (-0.248 -0.25)79.63% (0.24499999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 76.4%
    Cambuur 9.17%
    Draw 14.42%
FC TwenteDrawCambuur
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.55% (0.099 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.4% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.34% (0.072 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.43% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.86% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.23% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (0.066 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.046 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 76.4%
1-1 @ 6.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 14.42%
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.17%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Cambuur

FC Twente
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Cambuur
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 1.30pm
Mar 6, 2022 1.30pm
FC Twente
1-0
Cambuur
Propper (63')
Brenet (70')

ter Heide (16'), Mac-Intosch (25'), Schouten (57'), Paulissen (88'), Tol (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 5.45pm
Cambuur
2-0
FC Twente
Jacobs (66', 90+1')
Hoedemakers (36')

Smal (17'), van Wolfswinkel (42'), Ilic (50')
Ilic (55')
May 3, 2019 7pm
FC Twente
2-2
Cambuur
Boere (5'), Hamdaoui (37')
Schilder (88'), Robertha (93')
Dec 14, 2018 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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