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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 76.41%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.66%), while for a Cambuur win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
76.41% ( 0.58) | 14.42% ( -0.28) | 9.17% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.19% ( 0.43) | 31.81% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.66% ( 0.5) | 53.34% ( -0.5) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.14% ( 0.21) | 6.85% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.77% ( 0.55) | 25.23% ( -0.56) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.59% ( -0.29) | 43.4% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.37% ( -0.25) | 79.63% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Cambuur |
2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 76.4% | 1-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.42% | 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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