KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax1 - 1PSV
The Match
Match Report
PSV Eindoven beat Ajax on penalties following a 1-1 draw to win the KNVB Beker for the 11th time in their history.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
44.94% ( 0.03) | 22.23% ( 0) | 32.83% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 67.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.94% ( -0.03) | 33.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.21% ( -0.03) | 54.8% ( 0.03) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% ( -0) | 15.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% ( -0) | 44.21% ( 0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( -0.03) | 20.66% ( 0.03) |