Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 2AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Vitesse 0-1 AZ
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Lazio 2-0 AZ Alkmaar
AZ will be aware of the size of the challenge facing them in this tie, and while we are expecting it to be close overall, Lazio are likely to have too much for their opponents in the first leg of their encounter. As a result, we are backing a 2-0 success for Sarri's team on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
41.85% ( -0.07) | 26.05% ( 0.1) | 32.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
